A new round of industrial revolution will rise in the automotive field

About every five or sixty years, driven by the development of science and technology as the core factor, the world economy will show a cycle of rising and falling. There are signs that the drivers of the new round of economic cycles will likely be artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of Things and the industry 4.0 created by it, and the associated energy revolution. In this context, because the automobile is a large-volume, reproducible and popular consumer durable product, it can greatly dilute the cost of technological innovation and drive the linkage between the upstream and downstream industry chains. Therefore, the emergence of smart cars will become an industrial field that integrates artificial intelligence, Internet of Everything, new energy technologies, and brings into play the advantages of Industry 4.0.

The competition between traditional car companies and new car companies has objectively existed. Some of the original lack of competitiveness, combined with the old-fashioned traditional car companies, may be subject to subversive shocks. However, standing in the industry as a whole, the traditional automobile enterprises in the automobile industry will face new opportunities of self-renewal and self-improvement in this long-term stale battle, and it is very likely to rely on their existing technological and management advantages. Reborn in the subversive challenge.

On January 5, the National Development and Reform Commission announced the "Intellectual Vehicle Innovation Development Strategy (Draft for Comment)", initially formulated a strategic vision, and set the time node for achieving the goal: by 2020, the proportion of new smart cars will reach 50%, medium and high. Level intelligent vehicles realize market-oriented applications; by 2025, new cars will be basically intelligent, and high-level smart cars will achieve large-scale application; by 2035, China's standard smart cars will be world-famous, and the first to build smart car powers, sharing "safety and efficiency" Smart, car society with green, civilized.

The formation of this strategy means that after a period of practice and cognition, China has initially formed a consensus on the significance, goals, paths and measures for developing smart cars at the national level. The capital market is deeply concerned about and layout of smart cars. Time.

A new round of industrial revolution will rise in the automotive field

Smart cars will lead the industrial revolution

From the perspective of the global economic development cycle, it presents an obvious long-period (that is, the “productive development cycle”) characteristic, also known as the “Khandatiev cycle”. It is believed that every five or sixty years (the Chinese can understand it as a syllabus according to custom, that is, about 60 years), driven by the development of science and technology as the core factor, the world economy will show a cycle of rising and falling.

According to this theory, from 1782, textile machines and steam engines drove the first industrial revolution; the second cycle was driven by steel and railway technology; the third cycle was driven by electrical, chemical, and automotive technologies; the fourth cycle was Driven by automotive and computer technology; the fifth cycle began in the 1990s, and the core driver was information technology. It is currently at the end of the fifth round, the recession.

There are signs that the drivers of the new round of economic cycles will likely be artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of Things and the industry 4.0 created by it, and the associated energy revolution.

In this context, because the automobile is a large-volume, reproducible and popular consumer durable product, it can greatly dilute the cost of technological innovation and drive the linkage between the upstream and downstream industry chains. Smart cars have emerged as the times require, and will become an industrial field that integrates artificial intelligence, Internet of Everything, new energy technologies, and leverages the advantages of Industry 4.0.

Is this revolution subversive?

The focus of technological breakthroughs is in the perception and decision-making layers.

What is a smart car? According to the definition of the Exposure Draft, smart cars are equipped with advanced sensors, controllers, actuators and other devices, using information communication, Internet, big data, cloud computing, artificial intelligence and other new technologies, with partial or full automatic driving functions. A new generation of vehicles that are gradually shifting from smart transportation to smart mobile space. Smart cars are also commonly referred to as intelligent networked cars, self-driving cars, driverless cars, and the like.

Sensors, controllers, and actuators correspond to three levels of smart car technology: the perception layer, the decision layer, and the execution layer.

Among them, the sensing layer technology is mainly based on visual technology and radar technology to provide environmental sensing input for automobiles. The hardware facilities mainly include a camera mounted on the car body, various types of radars, and terminal devices that receive information on the car network.

The role of the decision-making layer technology is to receive the network virtual space signal from the vehicle body and the network virtual space signal from the vehicle network. By integrating the vehicle or cloud processing results, the vehicle control signal is output, and the vehicle control unit realizes the real-time control of the vehicle. This technology is equivalent to the "driving brain" of automatic cars. It is based on algorithms and supports high-speed computing through hardware technologies such as semiconductors.

The executive layer technology refers to the basic actuator system and related component technologies of the vehicle such as acceleration, deceleration, steering, and braking.

On the whole, smart cars can be seen as prototypes of robots that have specific uses and can be more complex and refined in the future. Just as human beings have the ability resources of soul, heart and body, the essential characteristics of smart cars are different from those of traditional cars. They are in their perception and decision-making layers. The perception and decision-making layers are the organs that smart cars can accommodate the soul of cars.

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